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Lokomotiv Moscow - Salzburg
Btts&over2.5 (2.00) (0.7⭐️)
Dominik Szoboszlai to score (2.50) ⚠️
Penultimate day of the Champions League which will be full of surprises (as of 1.65 odds), but which seems to be a Europa League play-off for these 2 teams, included in the Atletico and Bayern group!
In reality, Lokomotiv could overtake the same colchoneros (5 points) with a victory, after stopping them at 0-0 on the last day of the Champions League. The defense of the railway workers is train-proof (0 goals conceded in the last 3 matches), but the Muscovites have only won 1 time ... in the last 9 official matches (1-4-4)!
Salzburg are instead dominating the Austrian Bundesliga, but their only point in Europe has picked it up in the first leg. In reality he has always scored in this Champions League (7 goals in 4 matches, not rats), but he “boasts” the worst defense of the Champions League (14 gs) after having collected 9 from Bayern (2-6 and 3-1).
Last Saturday, while Loko put her glasses back on (0-0 with Akhmat Grozny), however, she trimmed 8 goals at St. Polten and Szoboszlai had to share the ball with Koita ... since they both scored a hat-trick (2-8 )! However, the mission of the RB is at the limit of the impossible, but both are forced to win in order to hope to continue playing in Europe ... so may the best win!
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Shakhtar - Real Madrid
We Shakhtar on the first day… and he was winning 0-3 already in the 1st half in Madrid! 😀
Since then, however… the miners have never scored again in the Champions League (0-0 with Inter, 0-6 and 4-0 with Gladbach), struggling even in the Ukrainian Premier (2 goals in the 2 league days). All his attacking midfielders are in the infirmary, in addition to the usual pandemic, but Shakhtar cannot make calculations on Tuesday afternoon in Kiev.
Real Madrid, on the other hand… already has the calculator in hand! With 1 point he could still be picked up by Shakhtar (given the direct clashes), but then he could make 1 more point with Gladbach in the last round… However, Zidane's team has (with) won only against Inter, certainly not in the Liga Tombola ... where on Saturday they lost at home against Alaves with double figures (1-2)! In addition, the blancos also have heavy absences (captain and top scorer, among others).
Bottom line: Shakhtar are forced to win, while Real would sign for a draw… so don't bet on the favorite!
Failed to score a single goal !
We expect a surprise, as mentioned in the writeup ( don’t bet on favorites) but not 2-0 !!
Atletico Madrid - Bayern
Under3.0 goal line (1.70) (0.35 ⭐️)
In 2016, Bayern lost their only 2 away games to Atletico 1-0 (including a Champions League semi-final!), But at the time there were still fans in Madrid… where you could really talk about the home factor! Without the usual bedlam, the strongest team, Bayern, should be favored… but doesn't this match remind you a bit of Spain-Germany (6-0 ) ?!
Well, actually there were only Marcos Llorente (debut) and the old Koke in Roja, against half Bayern. Atletico never lost again after the first leg (6-2-0), defeating Valencia with an own goal last Saturday (0-1). However, he only won by measure with Salzburg… before drawing the 2 races with Lokomotiv Moscow, which is now on the heels of the colchoneros (-2).
Neuer, Sule, Goretzka, Gnabry and Sané will be eager for redemption after that coat *, but Flick's defense has always conceded goals in the last 7 official matches (1-3 comeback Saturday in Stuttgart). Lewandowski has resumed scoring and Bayern boasts by far the best attack in the Bundesliga (31)… but where they will face Leipzig in 4 days!
Furthermore, the Bavarians (12-1-0 in the last 13 games) are already mathematically in the second round (and also first), so this explains why they start underdogs after the football lesson given in the first leg. Atletico (best defense in Spain with only 2 goals conceded) therefore remain the most motivated team, but beating the reigning champions ... it will certainly not be a walk in the park!
✅
✅
Gladbach - Inter
Over2.5&btts (1.80) (0.75⭐️)
I saw the best Inter of the season on Saturday in Reggio Emilia…
Thuram is in shape and Borussia has also recovered Plea (a.3 goals + 3 assists in the Champions League), but his real strength is in the team, not in the singles. You never know who will send in the net (4 different players in the 4-1 just trimmed to Schalke in the derby) and only Bayern (15) have scored more goals than Gladbach (14) in this Champions League! In the last 2 games, for example, he humiliated Shakhtar Donetsk (0-6 and 4-0)!
I was convinced that Inter would also lose to Sassuolo, after the double KO against Real (3-2 and 0-2). The team looked like Conte (0-3), despite the large turnover. Vidal has redeemed himself and Lukaku will obviously return to starter for this match from inside or outside. However, Inter have climbed to the podium in Serie A, which is the real goal of the Nerazzurri.
Even if he wins this match, he would still be at riskon the last day (the X between Borussia and Real in the last match is very likely) and therefore my twisted reasoning is this: he really wants to bypass Shakhtar and get angry in the Europa League ... is it better to get out of everything and aim for the Scudetto? Having said that, the Germans would also be fine with 1 point (not at Inter), but they have to win if they want to keep 1st place ...
Btts&over2.5 ✅
Marseille - Olympiacos
Btts (1.95) (0.4⭐️)
(Olympiacos or draw & over0.5 olympiacos card ) (1.80) (0.4⭐️)
Marseille made THIRTEEN, but not in the Totocalcio ... but as a Guinness world record of consecutive defeats in the Champions League!
In this edition it boasts by far the worst attack… since it is the only team still dry of goals! Last Saturday, however, he won the 4th match in a row in Ligue 1, sending all his best strikers on the net (Payet, Thauvin and Benedetto, in 3-1 over Nantes).
Olympiakos also lost all Champions League matches, after the first leg (in full recovery, with an assist from the former Valbuena)! He remains undefeated in the Greek Super League, where he beat 2nd in the standings on Saturday (1-2 against Aris, with a brace from Bouchalakis).
So who to choose, between Olympique and Olympiakos? Well, OM is already out of the Champions League and I doubt they want to be humiliated even in the Europa League this season! Olympiakos qualify directly for the Europa League with 2 out of 3 results at the Velodrome (X2) and if they win in France they could still dream of 2nd place… since they will host Porto (+6) on the last day! Marseille will at least want to score the first goal… but it stinks of Quatorze!
Btts ✅
Olympiacos or draw ✖️( 0-1 ... 2-1 FT )
Porto - Manchester City
X HT (2.37) ⚠️
X FT (4.10) ⚠️
Porto (9 points) only needs 1 point to no longer be able to be reached by Olympiakos (3), of which he will be a guest on the last day. In addition, the Dragons of Conceiçao are returning from 5 victories in a row and have won all the home games of this Champions League (where they come from 3 successes in a row).
Aguero wasn't even on the bench, but City still humiliated Burnley (5-0 on Saturday), thanks to Gabriel Jesus (1 goal), De Bruyne (2 assists) and Mahrez (hat-trick). However, Guardiola's Manchester won only by measure in the first leg (2-1 at home), as well as in the last day of the Champions League (0-1 against Piraeus)… after losing 2-0 to Tottenham!
City have already qualified for the round of 16 (4-0-0), but to be sure of 1st place they need another point. So, more than bets…
0-0 FT 👌🏻
X HT ✅
X FT ✅
September :
ROI : 20.8%
Average odds : 1.99
Profit : +26,9 ⭐️ ( +53.8 units )
October :
Roi : 13.2%
Average odds : 2.04
Average stake : 0.43 ⭐️
Profit : + 21.6⭐️ ( +43,2 units )
November :
Roi : 8.0%
Average odds : 2.20
Average stake : 0.384 ⭐️
Profit : +10 ⭐️ (+20 units)
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